Segunda División · Spain · Heliodoro Rodríguez LópezTenerife vs Cadiz prediction & analysis
Tenerife or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.6 – 0.8 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tenerife hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 18% for Cadiz.
Tenerife have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Cadiz have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Tenerife come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Tenerife, 0.8 for Cadiz). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Tenerife have won 0, Cadiz have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Tenerife or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.22. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tenerife to win ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Tenerife or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tenerife / FT Tenerife ✗ | 35% | 2.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.68 | – |
Form
Tenerife – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Castellón | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Leganes | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Real Sociedad II | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Sporting Gijon | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Almeria | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Eibar | 3–1 | W |
Cadiz – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Girona | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Almeria | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Valladolid | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Eldense | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Celta de Vigo II | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Tenerife v Cadiz | 2–2 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Our pick is Tenerife or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tenerife vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cadiz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Tenerife vs Cadiz?
Tenerife vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.