Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Ciudad Deportiva ZubietaReal Sociedad II vs Mallorca prediction & analysis
Mallorca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 0.7 – 1.6 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mallorca travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 18% for Real Sociedad II.
Real Sociedad II have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Mallorca have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (0.7 for Real Sociedad II, 1.6 for Mallorca). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Mallorca or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Mallorca to win at 1.85 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mallorca to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mallorca or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✗ | 36% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 16% | 6.20 | – |
Form
Real Sociedad II – last 6
| 15 Sep | @ Aston Villa U21 | 1–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ FC Andorra | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Burgos | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Castellón | 0–1 | L |
Mallorca – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Eldense | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs AD Ceuta FC | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Granada CF | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Valladolid | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs SV Elversberg | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad II and Mallorca.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca?
Our pick is Mallorca or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mallorca 62%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca?
Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.