Segunda División · Spain · JP Financial EstadioCadiz vs Girona prediction & analysis
Girona or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Girona to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.0 – 1.9 Girona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Girona shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 18% for Cadiz.
Cadiz have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Girona have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 for Cadiz, 1.9 for Girona). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Girona or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Girona to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Girona to win ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Girona or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Girona ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Girona / FT Girona ✓ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.61 | – |
Form
Cadiz – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Almeria | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Valladolid | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Eldense | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Celta de Vigo II | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Granada CF | 2–0 | W |
Girona – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Castellón | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Sporting Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Las Palmas | 5–2 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Gimnastic | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cadiz and Girona.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Girona?
Our pick is Girona or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cadiz vs Girona?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Girona 56%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Girona?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Cadiz vs Girona?
Cadiz vs Girona (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.