Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.05
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Sporting Gijon take on Eldense on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Sporting Gijon are 7th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Eldense sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sporting Gijon's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Girona 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eldense's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Mallorca 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sporting Gijon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Sporting Gijon and 0.4 for Eldense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Safer route: Sporting Gijon or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Gijon to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Eldense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijon59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Eldense18%fair 5.45 · @4.80
1.50Expected goals
1.11Sporting Gijon xG
0.39Eldense xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.1 – 0.4 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.05
–
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 6
LWWDLL
5 Sep
vs Girona
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–4
L
7 Aug
@ Racing Santander
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Eldense – last 6
DLDLLL
5 Sep
vs Mallorca
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Leganes
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Almeria
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ Albacete
0–1
L
4 Aug
vs Villarreal II
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Eldense.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eldense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
