Segunda División · SpainValladolid vs Oviedo prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Valladolid 0.6 – 0.4 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Valladolid hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 34% for Oviedo.
Valladolid have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Oviedo have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.0 goals (0.6 for Valladolid, 0.4 for Oviedo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (37%), 1–0 (21%), 0–1 (16%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Valladolid to win ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 21% | 4.82 | – |
Form
Valladolid – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Cadiz | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Eibar | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Sporting Gijon | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Aug | @ Gimnástica Segoviana | 3–0 | W |
Oviedo – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Burgos | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Albacete | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Leganes | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Granada CF | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Le Havre | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ 1. FC Nürnberg | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Oviedo.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Oviedo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Valladolid vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Oviedo?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Valladolid vs Oviedo?
Valladolid vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.