Value bet: Granada CF to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Eibar vs Granada CF preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Eibar take on Granada CF on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Eibar are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Granada CF sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Eibar's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat FC Andorra 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Granada CF's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Cordoba 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Eibar and 0.9 for Granada CF. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar 44%, draw 22%, Granada CF 34%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Granada CF to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Eibar 1–0 Granada CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Granada CF34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.09Eibar xG
0.91Granada CF xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.1 – 0.9 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
44%
2.27
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Eibar – last 6
WWLDWW
30 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Tenerife
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Arenas Getxo
5–0
W
29 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 6
WWDWLW
30 Aug
@ Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs Mallorca
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Antequera
3–0
W
5 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Almeria
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar and Granada CF.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Eibar vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Eibar have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Granada CF 34%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–0 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Granada CF?
Eibar vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
