Segunda División · SpainAlmeria vs Cadiz prediction & analysis
Almeria to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Almeria 1.4 – 0.4 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Almeria are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Cadiz.
Almeria have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Cadiz have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.4 for Almeria, 0.4 for Cadiz). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (23%), 2–0 (17%), 0–0 (16%).
Our pick is Almeria to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Almeria to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Almeria or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Almeria / FT Almeria ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 23% | 4.31 | – |
Form
Almeria – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Sabadell | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Tenerife | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Eldense | 3–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Cordoba | 4–0 | W |
| 4 Aug | @ Al-Nassr | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Real Betis | 0–1 | L |
Cadiz – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Valladolid | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Eldense | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Celta de Vigo II | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Granada CF | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Tenerife | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Jul | vs AD Ceuta FC | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almeria and Cadiz.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Almeria vs Cadiz?
Our pick is Almeria to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Almeria vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Almeria have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cadiz 11%.
How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Cadiz?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Almeria vs Cadiz?
Almeria vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.