Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 2.48 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCadiz to win ✗43% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Cadiz vs Valladolid preview and prediction
The match
Cadiz host Valladolid in the Segunda División on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Nuevo Mirandilla. Cadiz are 20th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Valladolid sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cadiz's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Eldense 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Valladolid's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Valladolid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Valladolid 3–0 Cadiz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Cadiz and 0.9 for Valladolid. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cadiz 43%, draw 24%, Valladolid 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Cadiz to win at 2.48 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cadiz 1–0 Valladolid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cadiz43%fair 2.33 · @2.48
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Valladolid34%fair 2.98 · @3.00
2.04Expected goals
1.11Cadiz xG
0.93Valladolid xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.1 – 0.9 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cadiz vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valladolid 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–0 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs Valladolid?
Cadiz vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Mirandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
