Segunda División · Spain · Estadi Mallorca Son MoixMallorca vs AD Ceuta FC prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mallorca 2.2 – 0.8 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mallorca are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 14% for AD Ceuta FC.
Mallorca have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. AD Ceuta FC have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Mallorca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for Mallorca, 0.8 for AD Ceuta FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mallorca to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Mallorca or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.48 |
| Half-time result | Mallorca ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✓ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.49 | – |
Form
Mallorca – last 6
| 24 Aug | @ Granada CF | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Valladolid | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs SV Elversberg | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Aug | vs Paris Saint Germain | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Jul | vs Al-Ittihad FC | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Al-Fateh | 3–0 | W |
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Las Palmas | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ FC Andorra | 1–5 | L |
| 7 Aug | vs Malaga | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | @ Cadiz | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Sevilla | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | vs Albacete | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and AD Ceuta FC.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 13 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Burgos | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Eibar | 12 | +7 | 23 |
| 5 |  Granada CF | 12 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sporting Gijon | 13 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Girona | 13 | +10 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Las Palmas | 13 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Cordoba | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 13 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |  Real Sociedad II | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | -11 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | -20 | 5 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AD Ceuta FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC?
Mallorca vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.