Burgos host Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División on Monday 31 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Municipal El Plantio. Burgos are 3rd with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Real Sociedad II sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Burgos's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Sporting Gijon 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Sociedad II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Albacete 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Burgos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Burgos and 0.7 for Real Sociedad II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burgos 63%, draw 23%, Real Sociedad II 14%.
Safer route: Burgos or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Burgos 1–0 Real Sociedad II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burgos63%fair 1.60 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.45
Real Sociedad II14%fair 7.07 · @5.30
2.48Expected goals
1.77Burgos xG
0.71Real Sociedad II xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.8 – 0.7 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✗
63%
1.60
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Burgos or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Burgos ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Burgos – last 6
LWDLWW
23 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
29 Jul
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
31 May
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
WLLLLW
22 Aug
@ Albacete
2–1
W
14 Aug
vs Castellón
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Huesca
0–2
L
29 Jul
vs Eibar
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs PAU
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Burgos have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Sociedad II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Real Sociedad II?
Burgos vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal El Plantio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
