Valladolid travel to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in the Segunda División on Saturday 15 August (20:30 WAT) to face Mallorca. Mallorca are 6th with 22 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Valladolid sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mallorca's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with SV Elversberg 1–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Valladolid's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sporting Gijon 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Mallorca and 0.8 for Valladolid. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mallorca 1–0 Valladolid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mallorca61%fair 1.63 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.65
Valladolid14%fair 7.40 · @4.85
2.61Expected goals
1.84Mallorca xG
0.77Valladolid xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.8 – 0.8 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
61%
1.63
1.69
Double chance
Mallorca or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Mallorca ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Mallorca – last 6
DWWWLL
8 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–0
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
17 May
@ Levante
0–2
L
13 May
@ Getafe
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 6
WWLWDL
8 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
4–2
W
5 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ Groningen
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
25 Jul
vs Getafe
0–0
D
31 May
@ Almeria
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mallorca vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valladolid 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–0 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Valladolid?
Mallorca vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
