Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓54% · @3.40
Double chanceCadiz or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II preview and prediction
The match
Cadiz host Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at JP Financial Estadio. Cadiz are 20th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Celta de Vigo II sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cadiz's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Granada CF 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Celta de Vigo II's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Vizela 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Cadiz and 1.2 for Celta de Vigo II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cadiz 28%, draw 54%, Celta de Vigo II 17%.
Safer route: Cadiz or draw (83%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cadiz or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cadiz 1–1 Celta de Vigo II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cadiz28%fair 3.54 · @2.08
Draw54%fair 1.84 · @3.40
Celta de Vigo II17%fair 5.79 · @3.40
2.61Expected goals
1.42Cadiz xG
1.19Celta de Vigo II xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.4 – 1.2 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
54%
1.84
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Cadiz or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cadiz / FT Cadiz✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.05
–
Form
Cadiz – last 6
WDLLWW
5 Aug
vs Granada CF
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Tenerife
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–3
L
22 Jul
vs Leicester
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ Barbate
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
WWDDDL
1 Aug
@ Vizela
1–0
W
20 Jun
vs Ponferradina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Europa Fc
2–2
D
31 May
@ Europa Fc
1–1
D
1 May
vs Osasuna II
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Cadiz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Celta de Vigo II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–1 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II?
Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
