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Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2

Value bet: Wisła Płock II to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.79

Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II preview and prediction

The match

Wisła Płock II travel to face Warta Sieradz in the III Liga Group 1 on Saturday 17 October (17:00 WAT). Warta Sieradz are 5th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Wisła Płock II sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Warta Sieradz's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Wigry Suwałki 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Wisła Płock II's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Troszyn 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Warta Sieradz 1–1 Wisła Płock II.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Warta Sieradz and 1.6 for Wisła Płock II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Warta Sieradz41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Wisła Płock II38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
1.68Warta Sieradz xG
1.61Wisła Płock II xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.7 – 1.6 Wisła Płock II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarta Sieradz to win ✓41%2.442.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.79–

Form

Warta Sieradz – last 6

LDDWWL
9 Octvs Wigry Suwałki1–3L
3 Octvs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1–1D
19 Sepvs Olimpia Zambrów2–2D
12 Sep@ Polonia Lidzbark Warm.2–1W
4 Sepvs Olimpia Elbląg4–1W
29 Aug@ Swit1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wisła Płock II – last 6

WLWLDW
10 Octvs Troszyn2–1W
3 Oct@ Wigry Suwałki0–1L
25 Sepvs Jagiellonia II2–1W
19 Sep@ Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2–3L
12 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II2–2D
6 Sep@ Widzew II2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Warta Sieradz v Wisła Płock II1–1
Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?

On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wisła Płock II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?

Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–1 Wisła Płock II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II?

Warta Sieradz vs Wisła Płock II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.