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Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMławianka Mława to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00

Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. preview and prediction

The match

The III Liga Group 1 sees Mławianka Mława take on Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Mławianka Mława are 16th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Mławianka Mława's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Olimpia Elbląg 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.'s last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Łomża 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.0 for Mławianka Mława and 1.7 for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mławianka Mława 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mławianka Mława46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
3.70Expected goals
1.98Mławianka Mława xG
1.72Polonia Lidzbark Warm. xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Mławianka Mława 2.0 – 1.7 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMławianka Mława to win ✓46%2.192.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultMławianka Mława ahead at half-time ✓36%2.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mławianka Mława / FT Mławianka Mława ✓27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.00–

Form

Mławianka Mława – last 6

LLWWLL
10 Oct@ Olimpia Elbląg1–2L
3 Octvs Swit2–4L
25 Sep@ Ząbkovia Ząbki4–3W
19 Sepvs Troszyn4–1W
12 Sep@ Jagiellonia II4–7L
6 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź II0–2L
2.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6

WWDLLW
10 Octvs Łomża3–2W
3 Oct@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki2–1W
26 Sepvs Weszlo1–1D
19 Sep@ Pelikan Łowicz0–1L
12 Sepvs Warta Sieradz1–2L
6 Sep@ Wigry Suwałki3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mławianka Mława and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..

Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

On our numbers Mławianka Mława have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 35%.

How many goals will there be in Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

Our predicted score is Mławianka Mława 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?

Mławianka Mława vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.