Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLechia T. Mazowiecki to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. preview and prediction
The match
Lechia T. Mazowiecki host Polonia Lidzbark Warm. in the III Liga Group 1 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lechia T. Mazowiecki's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Olimpia Elbląg 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.'s last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Weszlo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Lechia T. Mazowiecki and 1.2 for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia T. Mazowiecki63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
3.51Expected goals
2.32Lechia T. Mazowiecki xG
1.19Polonia Lidzbark Warm. xG
53%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2.3 – 1.2 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Lechia T. Mazowiecki ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia T. Mazowiecki / FT Lechia T. Mazowiecki✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Lechia T. Mazowiecki – last 6
WLLLDW
26 Sep
@ Olimpia Elbląg
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs Swit
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Ząbkovia Ząbki
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Troszyn
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Jagiellonia II
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs ŁKS Łódź II
4–3
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6
DLLWDL
26 Sep
vs Weszlo
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Pelikan Łowicz
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Warta Sieradz
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Wigry Suwałki
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Widzew II
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia T. Mazowiecki and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
What is the prediction for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our pick is Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
On our numbers Lechia T. Mazowiecki have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our predicted score is Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
