Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II preview and prediction
The match
Jagiellonia II travel to Orlen Arena in the III Liga Group 1 on Friday 25 September (15:00 WAT) to face Wisła Płock II. Wisła Płock II are 7th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Jagiellonia II sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Wisła Płock II's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Jagiellonia II's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to ŁKS Łódź II 2–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Jagiellonia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Wisła Płock II 0–4 Jagiellonia II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.2 for Wisła Płock II and 2.0 for Jagiellonia II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wisła Płock II 42%, draw 21%, Jagiellonia II 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wisła Płock II 2–2 Jagiellonia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wisła Płock II42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Jagiellonia II37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
4.17Expected goals
2.16Wisła Płock II xG
2.01Jagiellonia II xG
71%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Wisła Płock II 2.2 – 2.0 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Wisła Płock II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Wisła Płock II 2–2 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II?
Wisła Płock II vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlen Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
