III Liga Group 1 · PolandSwit vs Łomża prediction & analysis
Swit to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Swit 1.9 – 0.9 Łomża expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Swit are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 22% for Łomża.
Swit have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Łomża have 3 points from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Swit come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Swit, 0.9 for Łomża). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Swit have won 1, Łomża have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Swit to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Swit to win ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Swit ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Swit / FT Swit ✓ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.99 | – |
Form
Swit – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Weszlo | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Pelikan Łowicz | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Warta Sieradz | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Wigry Suwałki | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 1–2 | L |
Łomża – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs Ząbkovia Ząbki | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Troszyn | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Jagiellonia II | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ ŁKS Łódź II | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Mławianka Mława | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Aug | @ Wisła Płock II | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 13 May 2026 | Swit v Łomża | 3–2 |
III Liga Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Weszlo | 16 | +14 | 35 |
| 2 |  Wigry Suwałki | 16 | +16 | 34 |
| 3 |  Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 4 |  Swit | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 5 |  Warta Sieradz | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Ząbkovia Ząbki | 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Wisła Płock II | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Pelikan Łowicz | 16 | +2 | 24 |
| 9 |  Olimpia Zambrów | 16 | +1 | 24 |
| 10 |  ŁKS Łódź II | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |  Olimpia Elbląg | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia II | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Widzew II | 16 | +2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Mławianka Mława | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 |  Troszyn | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Łomża | 16 | -20 | 4 |
More III Liga Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Swit vs Łomża?
Our pick is Swit to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Swit vs Łomża?
On our numbers Swit have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Łomża 22%.
How many goals will there be in Swit vs Łomża?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Swit vs Łomża?
Swit vs Łomża (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.