Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.78 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.78Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalisz to win ✗64% · @1.78
Double chanceKalisz or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Lipno Stęszew take on Kalisz on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Lipno Stęszew are 16th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Kalisz sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lipno Stęszew's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Stargard Szczeciński 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Kalisz's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Lech Poznań II 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Lipno Stęszew and 2.1 for Kalisz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Kalisz to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.78, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Kalisz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lipno Stęszew14%fair 7.04 · @3.66
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.48
Kalisz64%fair 1.56 · @1.78
3.07Expected goals
0.92Lipno Stęszew xG
2.14Kalisz xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 0.9 – 2.1 Kalisz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalisz to win✗
64%
1.56
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Kalisz or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.38
Half-time result
Kalisz ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalisz / FT Kalisz✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.36
–
Form
Lipno Stęszew – last 6
WLDWLL
10 Oct
@ Stargard Szczeciński
4–3
W
3 Oct
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Victoria Września
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Bałtyk Koszalin
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Kotwica Kórnik
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Flota Świnoujście
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kalisz – last 6
LLWDDD
10 Oct
vs Lech Poznań II
2–4
L
3 Oct
@ Stargard Szczeciński
0–5
L
27 Sep
vs Kluczevia Stargard
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Victoria Września
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lipno Stęszew and Kalisz.
What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz?
Our pick is Kalisz to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz?
On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalisz 64%.
How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz?
Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Kalisz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz?
Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
