III Liga Group 2 · PolandGrom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 2.0 – 1.8 Chemik Bydgoszcz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Grom Nowy Staw hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 36% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Grom Nowy Staw have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.3 per game. Chemik Bydgoszcz have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.0 for Grom Nowy Staw, 1.8 for Chemik Bydgoszcz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Grom Nowy Staw to win ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time result | Grom Nowy Staw ahead at half-time ✓ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw ✓ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.26 | – |
Form
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Victoria Września | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Flota Świnoujście | 5–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Luzino | 1–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Polonia Środa | 4–4 | D |
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Gedania Gdansk | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Lipno Stęszew | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Stargard Szczeciński | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Kalisz | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Victoria Września | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Bałtyk Koszalin | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Chemik Bydgoszcz.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chemik Bydgoszcz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Bydgoszcz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.