Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGedania Gdansk to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Gedania Gdansk take on Victoria Września on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Gedania Gdansk are 12th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Victoria Września sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Gedania Gdansk's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Bałtyk Koszalin 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Victoria Września's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Lipno Stęszew 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Victoria Września arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for Gedania Gdansk and 1.6 for Victoria Września. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gedania Gdansk 46%, draw 19%, Victoria Września 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gedania Gdansk 2–1 Victoria Września. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gedania Gdansk46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Victoria Września34%fair 2.91 · @2.70
3.51Expected goals
1.90Gedania Gdansk xG
1.61Victoria Września xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Gedania Gdansk 1.9 – 1.6 Victoria Września expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gedania Gdansk to win✗
46%
2.16
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gedania Gdansk / FT Gedania Gdansk✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
LWDLLL
26 Sep
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Kotwica Kórnik
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Luzino
0–4
L
28 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
3–4
L
23 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Victoria Września – last 6
DDDDLW
26 Sep
vs Lipno Stęszew
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Stargard Szczeciński
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Kalisz
3–3
D
29 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Kotwica Kórnik
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gedania Gdansk and Victoria Września.
What is the prediction for Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
On our numbers Gedania Gdansk have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Victoria Września 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Our predicted score is Gedania Gdansk 2–1 Victoria Września, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września?
Gedania Gdansk vs Victoria Września (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
