Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Grom Nowy Staw to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrom Nowy Staw to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Grom Nowy Staw take on Bałtyk Koszalin on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT). Grom Nowy Staw are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Bałtyk Koszalin sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Grom Nowy Staw's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Kotwica Kórnik 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Bałtyk Koszalin's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Gedania Gdansk 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for Grom Nowy Staw and 1.4 for Bałtyk Koszalin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Grom Nowy Staw to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Bałtyk Koszalin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grom Nowy Staw59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.81 · @3.75
Bałtyk Koszalin26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
3.61Expected goals
2.23Grom Nowy Staw xG
1.38Bałtyk Koszalin xG
55%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 2.2 – 1.4 Bałtyk Koszalin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grom Nowy Staw to win✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Grom Nowy Staw ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
WWLDWL
26 Sep
@ Kotwica Kórnik
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Flota Świnoujście
5–0
W
11 Sep
@ Luzino
1–5
L
5 Sep
vs Polonia Środa
4–4
D
29 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Kluczevia Stargard
3–4
L
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 6
WLLDWD
26 Sep
vs Gedania Gdansk
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lipno Stęszew
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Stargard Szczeciński
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Victoria Września
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Kalisz
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Bałtyk Koszalin.
What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bałtyk Koszalin 26%.
How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Bałtyk Koszalin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
