Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuzino to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Stargard Szczeciński take on Luzino on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Stargard Szczeciński are 6th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Luzino sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Polonia Środa 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Luzino's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Chemik Bydgoszcz 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Stargard Szczeciński and 2.6 for Luzino. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Luzino to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Luzino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stargard Szczeciński21%fair 4.72 · @3.85
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.65
Luzino58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
4.25Expected goals
1.62Stargard Szczeciński xG
2.63Luzino xG
60%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 1.6 – 2.6 Luzino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luzino to win✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Half-time result
Luzino ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luzino / FT Luzino✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Form
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
LWLDWW
19 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
30 May
vs Flota Świnoujście
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Luzino – last 6
WWDWLL
19 Aug
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ Victoria Września
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Bałtyk Koszalin
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
6–2
W
18 Jul
@ Arka Gdynia
0–2
L
10 Jul
vs Grom Nowy Staw
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stargard Szczeciński and Luzino.
What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Our pick is Luzino to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Luzino 58%.
How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Luzino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
