III Liga Group 2 · PolandBałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz prediction & analysis
Kalisz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Kalisz to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bałtyk Koszalin 0.7 – 1.7 Kalisz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kalisz travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 16% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Bałtyk Koszalin have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches (1W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Kalisz have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (0.7 for Bałtyk Koszalin, 1.7 for Kalisz). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 40%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–2 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Kalisz or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Kalisz to win at 1.75 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kalisz to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Kalisz or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Kalisz ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kalisz / FT Kalisz ✗ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.21 | – |
Form
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 4
| 19 Aug | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Flota Świnoujście | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Luzino | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Polonia Środa | 0–3 | L |
Kalisz – last 6
| 19 Aug | vs Noteć Czarnków | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Kotwica Kórnik | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Unia Swarzędz | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Aug | @ Górnik Łęczna | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Flota Świnoujście | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Lech Poznań II | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bałtyk Koszalin and Kalisz.
III Liga Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 16 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | -22 | 11 |
More III Liga Group 2 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
Our pick is Kalisz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
On our numbers Bałtyk Koszalin have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kalisz 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
When is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.