Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Środa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓67% · @1.65
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński preview and prediction
The match
Stargard Szczeciński travel to face Polonia Środa in the III Liga Group 2 on Wednesday 19 August (18:00 WAT). Polonia Środa are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Stargard Szczeciński sit 6th on 24 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Polonia Środa's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Chemik Bydgoszcz 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Lech Poznań II 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Polonia Środa and 0.9 for Stargard Szczeciński. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Środa to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Polonia Środa 2–0 Stargard Szczeciński. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Środa67%fair 1.50 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.90
Stargard Szczeciński15%fair 6.86 · @4.10
3.18Expected goals
2.23Polonia Środa xG
0.94Stargard Szczeciński xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.2 – 0.9 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✓
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Polonia Środa or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.87
–
Form
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWWLLW
14 Aug
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
4–1
W
7 Aug
vs Victoria Września
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
0–3
L
15 Jul
@ Warta Sieradz
1–2
L
30 May
vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
WLDWWW
15 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
30 May
vs Flota Świnoujście
3–0
W
22 May
@ Tłuchowia
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stargard Szczeciński 15%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–0 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Polonia Środa vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
