Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.57
Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Kalisz take on Noteć Czarnków on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Kalisz are 10th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Noteć Czarnków sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kalisz's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Kotwica Kórnik 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Noteć Czarnków's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Unia Swarzędz 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Kalisz and 1.1 for Noteć Czarnków. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Kalisz to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Kalisz 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalisz58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.75
Noteć Czarnków21%fair 4.87 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.94Kalisz xG
1.06Noteć Czarnków xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kalisz 1.9 – 1.1 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalisz to win✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Kalisz or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Kalisz ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalisz / FT Kalisz✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.57
–
Form
Kalisz – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Unia Swarzędz
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Lech Poznań II
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Unia Skierniewice
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 6
WLLWWD
14 Aug
@ Unia Swarzędz
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Grom Nowy Staw
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Gedania Gdansk
3–5
L
30 May
@ Wda Świecie
3–1
W
23 May
@ Elana Toruń
3–0
W
17 May
@ Stargard Szczeciński
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Kalisz to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Noteć Czarnków 21%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
