III Liga Group 3 · PolandBarycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barycz Sułów 1.4 – 1.5 Zagłębie Lubin II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Barycz Sułów and Zagłębie Lubin II on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Barycz Sułów have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Zagłębie Lubin II have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Zagłębie Lubin II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Barycz Sułów, 1.5 for Zagłębie Lubin II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zagłębie Lubin II to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zagłębie Lubin II / FT Zagłębie Lubin II ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.64 | – |
Form
Barycz Sułów – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Górnik Polkowice | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Carina Gubin | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs ROW Rybnik | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0–3 | L |
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
| 18 Sep | vs Carina Gubin | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ ROW Rybnik | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Warta Gorzów | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Miedź Legnica II | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Kluczbork | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barycz Sułów and Zagłębie Lubin II.
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
On our numbers Barycz Sułów have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zagłębie Lubin II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.