III Liga Group 3 · PolandMiedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Miedź Legnica II 1.6 – 1.7 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Miedź Legnica II and Sparta Katowice on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Miedź Legnica II have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Sparta Katowice have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. Sparta Katowice come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Miedź Legnica II, 1.7 for Sparta Katowice). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Miedź Legnica II have won 0, Sparta Katowice have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sparta Katowice to win ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.59 | – |
Form
Miedź Legnica II – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Ślęza Wrocław | 5–3 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Stal Brzeg | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Stilon Gorzów | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–1 | L |
Sparta Katowice – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Kluczbork | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Rakow II | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Polonia Nysa | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Ślęza Wrocław | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 7 Mar 2026 | Sparta Katowice v Miedź Legnica II | 2–2 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Miedź Legnica II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Katowice 42%.
How many goals will there be in Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice?
Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.