III Liga Group 3 · PolandKarkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Goczałkowice Zdrój to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.3 – 1.3 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Goczałkowice Zdrój on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Goczałkowice Zdrój have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, 1.3 for Goczałkowice Zdrój). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have won 0, Goczałkowice Zdrój have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.94. For a bigger price, Goczałkowice Zdrój to win at 2.88 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✓ | 42% | 2.41 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra ✓ | 22% | 4.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.95 | – |
Form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Stal Brzeg | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Stilon Gorzów | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Zagłębie Lubin II | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Górnik Polkowice | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Barycz Sułów | 3–0 | W |
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Warta Gorzów | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Miedź Legnica II | 0–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Kluczbork | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Rakow II | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Polonia Nysa | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Sparta Katowice | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 8 May 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra v Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0–1 |
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
More III Liga Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 38%.
How many goals will there be in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.