Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
1
Value bet: Zagłębie Lubin II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZagłębie Lubin II to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice preview and prediction
The match
Zagłębie Lubin II host Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3 on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena. Zagłębie Lubin II are 4th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Sparta Katowice sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Zagłębie Lubin II's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Pardubice II 0–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sparta Katowice's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Widzew II 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Sparta Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Zagłębie Lubin II and 1.4 for Sparta Katowice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Zagłębie Lubin II to win at 2.60 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Zagłębie Lubin II 1–1 Sparta Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zagłębie Lubin II46%fair 2.18 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.60
Sparta Katowice34%fair 2.95 · @2.40
3.03Expected goals
1.65Zagłębie Lubin II xG
1.38Sparta Katowice xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 1.6 – 1.4 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zagłębie Lubin II to win✓
46%
2.18
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.52
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.49
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zagłębie Lubin II / FT Zagłębie Lubin II✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6
LLLLLL
25 Jul
vs Pardubice II
0–5
L
18 Jul
@ Lech Poznań II
0–3
L
15 Jul
vs Odra Bytom Odrzański
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
0–4
L
30 May
@ Goczałkowice Zdrój
2–3
L
22 May
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 6
WWDWLW
25 Jul
@ Widzew II
5–0
W
18 Jul
vs Havířov
4–2
W
8 Jul
@ Tychy 71
2–2
D
24 May
@ Polonia Nysa
3–2
W
13 May
@ Starowice Dolne
1–2
L
9 May
vs Słowianin
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zagłębie Lubin II and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Katowice 34%.
How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Zagłębie Lubin II 1–1 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice?
Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
