Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.42Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +99%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓55% · @3.60
Double chanceZaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓79% · @1.42
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec preview and prediction
The match
Zaglebie Sosnowiec travel to face Karkonosze Jelenia Góra in the III Liga Group 3 on Saturday 1 August (16:05 WAT). Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 8th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 1st on 37 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Miedź Legnica II 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Podhale Nowy Targ 1–4 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and 1.5 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw (79%) at 1.42.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.54.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 55% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra21%fair 4.77 · @2.65
Draw55%fair 1.81 · @3.60
Zaglebie Sosnowiec24%fair 4.19 · @2.35
2.98Expected goals
1.46Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
1.52Zaglebie Sosnowiec xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.5 – 1.5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
55%
1.81
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.54
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.47
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
LWLWWW
25 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
4–0
W
8 Jul
@ Słowianin
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Górnik Polkowice
3–1
W
30 May
vs Górnik Zabrze II
2–0
W
17 May
vs Polonia Nysa
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6
LDLWDL
18 Jul
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1–4
L
4 Jul
vs Podbeskidzie
2–2
D
30 May
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–1
L
22 May
vs Kalisz
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0–0
D
24 Apr
@ Podbeskidzie
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
What is the prediction for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
On our numbers Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Zaglebie Sosnowiec 24%.
How many goals will there be in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Our predicted score is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1–1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
