Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Star Starachowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStar Starachowice to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj preview and prediction
The match
Busko-Zdroj travel to face Star Starachowice in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 22 August (17:00 WAT). Star Starachowice are 9th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Busko-Zdroj sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Star Starachowice's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Czarni Połaniec 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Busko-Zdroj's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Star Starachowice and 1.1 for Busko-Zdroj. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Star Starachowice 59%, draw 16%, Busko-Zdroj 25%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Star Starachowice to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Star Starachowice 2–1 Busko-Zdroj. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Star Starachowice59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @3.60
Busko-Zdroj25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
3.09Expected goals
1.96Star Starachowice xG
1.14Busko-Zdroj xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Star Starachowice 2.0 – 1.1 Busko-Zdroj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Star Starachowice to win✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Star Starachowice ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Star Starachowice – last 6
WLDLWL
19 Aug
vs Czarni Połaniec
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Busko-Zdroj – last 6
LLWDWL
19 Aug
@ Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ KS Wieczysta Krakow II
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Wisłoka Dębica
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Nieciecza
6–1
W
21 Jul
vs Nea Salamis
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Busko-Zdroj.
What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our pick is Star Starachowice to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Busko-Zdroj 25%.
How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Busko-Zdroj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
Star Starachowice vs Busko-Zdroj (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.