Value bet: Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodlasie Biała Podlaska to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska preview and prediction
The match
Podlasie Biała Podlaska travel to face Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 22 August (16:00 WAT). Jarosław are 12th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Jarosław's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Busko-Zdroj 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Jarosław and 1.5 for Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Jarosław 1–2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jarosław38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Podlasie Biała Podlaska41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
2.97Expected goals
1.45Jarosław xG
1.52Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jarosław 1.5 – 1.5 Podlasie Biała Podlaska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podlasie Biała Podlaska to win✗
41%
2.45
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podlasie Biała Podlaska / FT Podlasie Biała Podlaska✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Jarosław – last 6
WLLDWL
19 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 6
WWDLLW
19 Aug
vs Busko-Zdroj
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Czarni Połaniec
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Hetman Zamosc
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ KSZO 1929
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Jagiellonia II
3–4
L
15 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa U19
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jarosław and Podlasie Biała Podlaska.
What is the prediction for Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
On our numbers Jarosław have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 41%.
How many goals will there be in Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our predicted score is Jarosław 1–2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Jarosław vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
