Value bet: Czarni Połaniec to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCzarni Połaniec to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec preview and prediction
The match
Star Starachowice host Czarni Połaniec in the III Liga Group 4 on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Star Starachowice are 9th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Czarni Połaniec sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Star Starachowice's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Hetman Zamosc 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Czarni Połaniec's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Podlasie Biała Podlaska 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Czarni Połaniec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Star Starachowice and 1.4 for Czarni Połaniec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Star Starachowice 37%, draw 21%, Czarni Połaniec 41%.
Value angle: Czarni Połaniec to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Star Starachowice 1–2 Czarni Połaniec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Star Starachowice37%fair 2.67 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Czarni Połaniec41%fair 2.43 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.34Star Starachowice xG
1.42Czarni Połaniec xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.3 – 1.4 Czarni Połaniec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Czarni Połaniec to win✗
41%
2.43
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Czarni Połaniec / FT Czarni Połaniec✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Form
Star Starachowice – last 6
LDLWLL
15 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs KSZO 1929
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Wisła Kraków II
2–4
L
18 Jul
vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1–3
L
27 Jun
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Czarni Połaniec – last 6
LWWLLD
15 Aug
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Sokół Kolb.
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Jarosław
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ KSZO 1929
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Czarni Połaniec.
What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Czarni Połaniec 41%.
How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 1–2 Czarni Połaniec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec?
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
