Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSiarka Tarnobrzeg to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław preview and prediction
The match
Siarka Tarnobrzeg host Jarosław in the III Liga Group 4 on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 10th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Jarosław sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Busko-Zdroj 4–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Jarosław's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to KS Wieczysta Krakow II 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.1 for Jarosław. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Jarosław. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siarka Tarnobrzeg60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @3.70
Jarosław22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
3.20Expected goals
2.06Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
1.13Jarosław xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2.1 – 1.1 Jarosław expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win✗
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siarka Tarnobrzeg / FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6
WLDLDL
15 Aug
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Czarni Połaniec
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Hetman Zamosc
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Resovia Rzeszów
3–4
L
11 Jul
@ Wisłoka Dębica
0–0
D
30 May
vs Cracovia Kraków II
5–6
L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jarosław – last 6
LLDWLW
15 Aug
vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wisłoka Dębica
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Sokół Kolb.
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
23 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ Czarni Połaniec
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Jarosław.
What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Our pick is Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Jarosław 22%.
How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Jarosław, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Jarosław (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
