Value bet: Juventud to win @ 2.72 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud to win ✗40% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Danubio vs Juventud preview and prediction
The match
Juventud travel to face Danubio in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 5 July (18:00 WAT). Danubio are 14th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Juventud sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Danubio's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Wanderers 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Juventud's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Danubio 4–1 Juventud.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Danubio and 1.3 for Juventud. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Danubio 36%, draw 24%, Juventud 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Juventud to win at 2.72 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Danubio 1–1 Juventud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Danubio36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Juventud40%fair 2.52 · @2.72
2.52Expected goals
1.22Danubio xG
1.30Juventud xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Danubio 1.2 – 1.3 Juventud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Danubio vs Juventud?
On our numbers Danubio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Juventud 40%.
How many goals will there be in Danubio vs Juventud?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Danubio vs Juventud?
Our predicted score is Danubio 1–1 Juventud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio vs Juventud (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
