Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Super Nova to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuper Nova to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Tukums vs Super Nova preview and prediction
The match
Tukums host Super Nova in the Cup on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tukums's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Grobiņa 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Super Nova's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Ogre United 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 July 2026, finished Tukums 1–2 Super Nova. Across their last 3 meetings Tukums have won 0, Super Nova 2, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tukums 35%, draw 21%, Super Nova 44%.
Value angle: Super Nova to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tukums vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Tukums have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Super Nova 44%.
When is Tukums vs Super Nova?
Tukums vs Super Nova (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Latvia
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
Riga Mariners3
BFC Daugavpils3