Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga to win ✓70% · @1.06
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.65
Leevon PPK vs Riga preview and prediction
The match
Riga travel to LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass in the Cup on Friday 10 July (18:00 WAT) to face Leevon PPK.
Form guide
Leevon PPK's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Valmiera BSS 1–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Riga's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Ararat-Armenia 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Leevon PPK and 2.7 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leevon PPK 12%, draw 18%, Riga 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leevon PPK 1–2 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leevon PPK12%fair 8.55 · @26.00
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @10.00
Riga70%fair 1.42 · @1.06
4.31Expected goals
1.57Leevon PPK xG
2.74Riga xG
61%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Leevon PPK 1.6 – 2.7 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
70%
1.42
1.06
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.65
–
Form
Leevon PPK – last 6
LLWDWW
5 Jul
@ Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
28 Jun
vs Metta LU
1–3
L
20 Jun
@ JFK Ventspils
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ JDFS Alberts
0–0
D
29 May
@ DSVK Traktors
5–3
W
23 May
vs JFK Ventspils
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Riga – last 6
LWWDWW
7 Jul
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–2
L
3 Jul
vs FS Jelgava
3–0
W
29 Jun
@ Auda
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs FK Liepaja
4–0
W
17 Jun
vs Rīgas FS
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leevon PPK and Riga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Leevon PPK vs Riga?
On our numbers Leevon PPK have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Riga 70%.
How many goals will there be in Leevon PPK vs Riga?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leevon PPK vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Leevon PPK 1–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Leevon PPK vs Riga?
Leevon PPK vs Riga (Cup) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metta LU3
Spēks1