Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 2.20 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetta LU to win ✓73% · @1.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @2.20
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓7% · fair 14.92
Metta LU vs Spēks preview and prediction
The match
Metta LU host Spēks in the Cup on Friday 10 July, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Metta LU's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Skanste 3–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 4.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.3 goals: 3.6 for Metta LU and 1.7 for Spēks. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metta LU 73%, draw 13%, Spēks 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Metta LU 3–1 Spēks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metta LU73%fair 1.36 · @1.04
Draw13%fair 7.90 · @13.00
Spēks14%fair 7.11 · @34.00
5.25Expected goals
3.58Metta LU xG
1.67Spēks xG
61%Both score
89%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
4–16%
2–16%
3–26%
4–25%
2–25%
From our goals model: Metta LU 3.6 – 1.7 Spēks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metta LU to win✓
73%
1.36
1.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Metta LU ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metta LU / FT Metta LU✗
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✓
7%
14.92
–
Form
Metta LU – last 6
WWWWWW
4 Jul
vs Skanste
3–1
W
28 Jun
@ Leevon PPK
3–1
W
20 Jun
vs Ķekava Auda
5–0
W
13 Jun
vs Super Nova 2
7–3
W
31 May
@ Lielupe
6–0
W
19 Apr
vs Rēzekne FA
5–0
W
4.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Spēks – last 2
WW
20 Jun
@ Salaspils
3–1
W
31 May
vs Union Daugava
6–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metta LU and Spēks.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Metta LU vs Spēks?
On our numbers Metta LU have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Spēks 14%.
How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs Spēks?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs Spēks?
Our predicted score is Metta LU 3–1 Spēks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is Metta LU vs Spēks?
Metta LU vs Spēks (Cup) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leevon PPK2
Riga3