Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamrun Spartans to win ✗75% · @1.17
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw ✗94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Hamrun Spartans take on Mosta on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Centenary Stadium. Hamrun Spartans are 5th with 18 points from 12 games, while Mosta sit 9th on 15 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to NSI Runavik 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mosta's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Naxxar Lions 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mosta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Mosta 2–1 Hamrun Spartans.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.5 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.7 for Mosta. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 53% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Mosta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans75%fair 1.34 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @5.50
Mosta6%fair 16.62 · @15.00
3.12Expected goals
2.45Hamrun Spartans xG
0.66Mosta xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.5 – 0.7 Mosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mosta 6%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Mosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta?
Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
