Value bet: Gzira United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirkirkara to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.97
Birkirkara vs Gzira United preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Birkirkara take on Gzira United on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Centenary Stadium. Birkirkara are 7th with 16 points from 12 games, while Gzira United sit 12th on 5 points.
Form guide
Birkirkara's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Mosta 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gzira United's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Valletta FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Birkirkara and 1.2 for Gzira United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birkirkara 40%, draw 24%, Gzira United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Gzira United to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Birkirkara 1–1 Gzira United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birkirkara40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Gzira United36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.25Birkirkara xG
1.17Gzira United xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.2 – 1.2 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birkirkara to win✓
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birkirkara / FT Birkirkara✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.97
–
Form
Birkirkara – last 6
DDLLWD
30 Apr
vs Mosta
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Tarxien Rainbows
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Sliema Wanderers
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Naxxar Lions
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gzira United – last 6
LLLWDW
23 May
@ Valletta FC
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Floriana
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Marsaxlokk
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Mosta
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birkirkara and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Birkirkara have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gzira United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–1 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Birkirkara vs Gzira United?
Birkirkara vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Centenary Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
