Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pakhtakor to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein preview and prediction
The match
Al Hussein travel to Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 11 August (16:00 WAT) to face Pakhtakor.
Form guide
Pakhtakor's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Buxoro 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al Hussein's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al Wihdat 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Hussein arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Pakhtakor and 0.7 for Al Hussein. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pakhtakor 64%, draw 21%, Al Hussein 15%.
Safer route: Pakhtakor or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Pakhtakor to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pakhtakor or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pakhtakor 1–0 Al Hussein. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pakhtakor64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Al Hussein15%fair 6.68 · @4.35
2.47Expected goals
1.77Pakhtakor xG
0.69Al Hussein xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.8 – 0.7 Al Hussein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
DDWWDD
6 Aug
vs Buxoro
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Andijan
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Hussein – last 6
WWWWWW
12 May
vs Al Wihdat
3–1
W
8 May
vs Al Faisaly
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Sama Al Sarhan
4–0
W
15 Apr
vs Al Ramtha
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Al Ahli
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Al Hussein.
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Our pick is Pakhtakor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Hussein 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–0 Al Hussein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein?
Pakhtakor vs Al Hussein (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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