Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Adelaide United to win @ 1.63 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAdelaide United to win ✗66% · @1.63
Double chanceAdelaide United or draw ✗89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân preview and prediction
The match
Adelaide United host Công An Nhân Dân in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT) at Coopers Stadium.
Form guide
Adelaide United's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to South Melbourne 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Viettel 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Công An Nhân Dân arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Adelaide United and 0.8 for Công An Nhân Dân. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Adelaide United 66%, draw 23%, Công An Nhân Dân 11%.
Safer route: Adelaide United or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Adelaide United to win at 1.63 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Adelaide United 2–0 Công An Nhân Dân. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Adelaide United66%fair 1.51 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.90
Công An Nhân Dân11%fair 9.24 · @5.00
2.98Expected goals
2.16Adelaide United xG
0.81Công An Nhân Dân xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Adelaide United 2.2 – 0.8 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United to win✗
66%
1.51
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Adelaide United or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Adelaide United ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United / FT Adelaide United✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Adelaide United – last 6
LLDWWD
30 Jul
@ South Melbourne
1–2
L
15 May
vs Auckland
0–3
L
9 May
@ Auckland
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Melbourne City
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Macarthur
3–1
W
11 Apr
@ Newcastle Jets
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
LWDWWW
7 Jun
@ Viettel
0–1
L
31 May
vs Binh Duong
2–1
W
24 May
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–1
D
17 May
vs Thanh Hóa
2–0
W
10 May
vs Nam Dinh
3–2
W
2 May
@ Hai Phong
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide United and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers Adelaide United have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Công An Nhân Dân 11%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United 2–0 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Adelaide United vs Công An Nhân Dân (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Coopers Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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