Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwitzerland to win ✓58% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Switzerland vs Algeria preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Switzerland take on Algeria on Friday 3 July, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at BC Place.
Form guide
Switzerland's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Canada 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Algeria's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Austria 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Switzerland and 1.1 for Algeria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Switzerland 1–1 Algeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Switzerland58%fair 1.74 · @1.86
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Algeria22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
3.07Expected goals
1.95Switzerland xG
1.12Algeria xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Switzerland 2.0 – 1.1 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Switzerland to win✓
58%
1.74
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.25
Half-time result
Switzerland ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Switzerland – last 6
WWDDWD
24 Jun
vs Canada
2–1
W
18 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Qatar
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Australia
1–1
D
31 May
vs Jordan
4–1
W
31 Mar
@ Norway
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Algeria – last 6
DWLWWD
28 Jun
vs Austria
3–3
D
23 Jun
@ Jordan
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Argentina
0–3
L
11 Jun
@ Bolivia
4–0
W
3 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Uruguay
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Switzerland and Algeria.
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Algeria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Switzerland vs Algeria?
On our numbers Switzerland have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Algeria 22%.
How many goals will there be in Switzerland vs Algeria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Algeria?
Our predicted score is Switzerland 1–1 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Switzerland vs Algeria?
Switzerland vs Algeria (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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