Australia vs Egypt prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Australia 0.9 – 1.1 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Egypt shade it despite being away from home – 43% to win, against 33% for Australia.
Australia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Egypt have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Australia, 1.1 for Egypt). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.25 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Egypt to win ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.25 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Egypt / FT Egypt ✗ | 23% | 4.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.71 | – |
Form
Australia – last 6
| 26 Jun | @ Paraguay | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jun | @ USA | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Jun | vs Türkiye | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | @ Mexico | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Curaçao | 5–1 | W |
Egypt – last 6
| 27 Jun | vs Iran | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | @ New Zealand | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | @ Belgium | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Brazil | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | vs Russia | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Spain | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Australia and Egypt.
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Cape Verde Islands1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Australia vs Egypt?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Australia vs Egypt?
On our numbers Australia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Egypt 43%.
How many goals will there be in Australia vs Egypt?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Australia vs Egypt?
Australia vs Egypt (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AT&T Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.