Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
England vs Congo DR preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees England take on Congo DR on Wednesday 1 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Form guide
England's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Panama 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Congo DR's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Uzbekistan 3–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
England arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for England and 0.7 for Congo DR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: England 66%, draw 20%, Congo DR 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: England 1–0 Congo DR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
England66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.90
Congo DR14%fair 7.41 · @12.00
2.56Expected goals
1.87England xG
0.68Congo DR xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: England 1.9 – 0.7 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✓
66%
1.51
1.28
Double chance
England or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
England – last 6
WDWWWL
27 Jun
@ Panama
2–0
W
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Japan
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Congo DR – last 6
WLDLDD
28 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
3–1
W
24 Jun
@ Colombia
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Portugal
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Denmark
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Congo DR.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win England vs Congo DR?
On our numbers England have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Congo DR 14%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is England 1–0 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is England vs Congo DR?
England vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mexico2
Ecuador0
Belgium2
Senegal2