Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolessya to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.97
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR preview and prediction
The match
Kryvbas KR travel to Tsentralnyi Stadion in the Premier League on Friday 18 September (13:30 WAT) to face Polessya. Polessya are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Kryvbas KR sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Polessya's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Livyi Bereh 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kryvbas KR's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Olimpiya Savyntsi 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Polessya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Polessya and 0.9 for Kryvbas KR. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polessya to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polessya68%fair 1.46 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @5.00
Kryvbas KR11%fair 9.15 · @8.50
3.18Expected goals
2.32Polessya xG
0.86Kryvbas KR xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Polessya 2.3 – 0.9 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Double chance
Polessya or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Polessya ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✓
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.97
–
Form
Polessya – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Kudrivka
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs Kudrivka
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Zorya Luhansk
1–2
L
10 Aug
vs FC Kharkiv
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kryvbas KR – last 6
WDLWDW
8 Sep
@ Olimpiya Savyntsi
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Chornomorets
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Rokyta
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Livyi Bereh
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Zorya Luhansk
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polessya and Kryvbas KR.
What is the prediction for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Our pick is Polessya to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
On our numbers Polessya have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kryvbas KR 11%.
How many goals will there be in Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Our predicted score is Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polessya vs Kryvbas KR?
Polessya vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
