Value bet: Obolon'-Brovar to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChornomorets to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar preview and prediction
The match
Chornomorets host Obolon'-Brovar in the Premier League on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Chornomorets. Chornomorets are 11th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Obolon'-Brovar sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chornomorets's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Shakhtar Donetsk 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Obolon'-Brovar's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to LNZ Cherkasy 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 6. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Chornomorets and 0.8 for Obolon'-Brovar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Obolon'-Brovar to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Chornomorets 1–0 Obolon'-Brovar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chornomorets44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.88
Obolon'-Brovar32%fair 3.13 · @3.40
1.82Expected goals
1.02Chornomorets xG
0.80Obolon'-Brovar xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chornomorets 1.0 – 0.8 Obolon'-Brovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chornomorets to win✗
44%
2.27
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.04
–
Form
Chornomorets – last 6
LDWLLL
14 Sep
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Vilkhivtsi
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ LNZ Cherkasy
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Polessya
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Obolon'-Brovar – last 6
LLDLDD
12 Sep
@ LNZ Cherkasy
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ FC Kharkiv
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Karpaty
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Kudrivka
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bukovyna
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chornomorets and Obolon'-Brovar.
What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
On our numbers Chornomorets have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Obolon'-Brovar 32%.
How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Our predicted score is Chornomorets 1–0 Obolon'-Brovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chornomorets.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
