Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✓69% · @1.28
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
France vs Sweden preview and prediction
The match
Sweden travel to MetLife Stadium in the World Cup on Tuesday 30 June (22:00 WAT) to face France.
Form guide
France's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Norway 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Sweden's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Japan 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for France and 1.1 for Sweden. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: France 69%, draw 18%, Sweden 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: France 2–1 Sweden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
France69%fair 1.44 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @5.60
Sweden13%fair 7.64 · @9.40
3.78Expected goals
2.66France xG
1.12Sweden xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: France 2.7 – 1.1 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
69%
1.44
1.28
Double chance
France or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
France – last 6
WWWWLW
26 Jun
@ Norway
4–1
W
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Colombia
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sweden – last 6
DLWDLW
26 Jun
@ Japan
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–5
L
15 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–1
W
4 Jun
vs Greece
2–2
D
1 Jun
@ Norway
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Poland
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and Sweden.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win France vs Sweden?
On our numbers France have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sweden 13%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Sweden?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Sweden?
Our predicted score is France 2–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is France vs Sweden?
France vs Sweden (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 30 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Netherlands1
Morocco1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2