Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Newry City AFC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewry City AFC to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Ards vs Newry City AFC preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Ards take on Newry City AFC on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Ards are 11th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Newry City AFC sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ards's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Armagh City 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Newry City AFC's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Newington Youth 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ards and 1.5 for Newry City AFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ards 37%, draw 22%, Newry City AFC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Newry City AFC to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ards 1–1 Newry City AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ards37%fair 2.71 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Newry City AFC41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
2.92Expected goals
1.41Ards xG
1.50Newry City AFC xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ards 1.4 – 1.5 Newry City AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
41%
2.45
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Ards – last 6
DDLWDL
24 Oct
@ Armagh City
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Rathfriland
0–0
D
16 Oct
vs Institute
0–2
L
9 Oct
@ Newington Youth
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Ballinamallard United
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Strabane Athletic
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Newry City AFC – last 6
LLDWLW
23 Oct
vs Newington Youth
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Carrick Rangers
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Queen's University
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Dundela
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Loughgall
1–2
L
25 Sep
vs H&W Welders
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ards and Newry City AFC.
What is the prediction for Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ards vs Newry City AFC?
On our numbers Ards have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newry City AFC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ards vs Newry City AFC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Our predicted score is Ards 1–1 Newry City AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ards vs Newry City AFC?
Ards vs Newry City AFC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
