Championship · Northern-IrelandInstitute vs Moyola Park prediction & analysis
Institute to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Institute 2.2 – 1.0 Moyola Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Institute are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 16% for Moyola Park.
Institute have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Moyola Park have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Institute, 1.0 for Moyola Park). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Institute to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Institute to win ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Institute or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Half-time result | Institute ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Institute / FT Institute ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.81 | – |
Form
Institute – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Loughgall | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Ards | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs H&W Welders | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Newington Youth | 7–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Annagh United | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Warrenpoint Town | 2–0 | W |
Moyola Park – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Dundela | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Newington Youth | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Loughgall | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Glenavon FC | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Queen's University | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ards | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Institute and Moyola Park.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Institute vs Moyola Park?
Our pick is Institute to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Institute vs Moyola Park?
On our numbers Institute have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Moyola Park 16%.
How many goals will there be in Institute vs Moyola Park?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Institute vs Moyola Park?
Institute vs Moyola Park (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.